February 23, 2019 - Moderate Risk in Dixie Alley
This was a setup that we probably would have passed up most times, but a long winter and the parameters forecast were enough for us to make the decision to make an 11 hour drive at 2:30am the night before the setup. The Storm Prediction Center had issued a 15% hatched area for significant tornadoes. This agreed with our initial target of Yazoo City, Mississippi. We arrived in Central Mississippi in the early afternoon, well before storm initiation. Storms ended up firing a couple counties east of where the HRRR showed so we didn’t have a lot of time for them to mature as they approached. Still, a large supercell set its targets on Yazoo County and was the first tornado warned storm of the day. We reported a wall cloud to the NWS but could not confirm a funnel or ground circulation as it was deep in the rain. Storm motion was upwards of 50 mph this day, so we were only able to keep pace with the storm for 20 minutes or so before letting it go deeper into the trees in lieu of newly developing storms to out sw. In the end, the new storms didn’t do much and our initial storm went on to produce the Columbus, Mississippi EF3 tornado. So goes chasing in Dixie Alley.